Season Projection – Phoenix Suns

The Phoenix Suns won 39 games last season after shocking the NBA in 2013-14 by winning 48 games in a season in which many predicted them to struggle to win 20. Over the off-season they were extremely active in attempting to lure LaMarcus Aldridge and almost had him (Phoenix were only just beaten out by San Antonio for his services). Instead they had to settle for Tyson Chandler, Mirza Teletovic and Devin Booker, the 13th draft pick. Chandler will almost definitely improve the Suns defensively, but will also take minutes from promising Centre and former 5th pick Alex Len, whilst Teletovic and Booker will hopefully improve the Suns spacing to give Eric Bledsoe as much room for those terrorising drives into the lane. If lottery pick TJ Warren improves this season and starts demonstrating the scoring prowess he showed at North Carolina State he may even take over the starting role from veteran PJ Tucker. Whilst this is all well and good for the Suns they still remain, at large, a team without an identity, they traded Marcus Morris and some scrubs to Detroit in an attempt to clear room for Aldridge who never came. Aldridge could’ve been their identity.

Prior to last season they had a three-headed Point Guard monster of Eric Bledsoe, Isaiah Thomas and Goran Dragic, but they traded away the latter two along with other pieces (including a very valuable LA Lakers pick) to acquire 2016, 2017 and 2021 1st round picks and Brandon Knight. At the time this trade didn’t look particularly wise and it still doesn’t eight months on. In this model, Brandon Knight’s full season statistics were used, however when you use the stats from his 11 games in the desert, the Suns differential drops almost two points. Hopefully for the Suns this was just him adjusting to their game plans and there isn’t deeper issues with how he will fit into Jeff Hornacek’s system alongside Eric Bledsoe. The Bledsoe-Knight combination is the key to Phoenix’s season and let’s hope that those two become the Suns identity.

Projected Record: 39-43
My Projected Wins: 37-42

FGA 2015 86 FTA2015 21.5
OFFENSE 102.3513 DEFENSE 103.3 FGA 2014 86 FTA2014 21.5
2014 FGA Ratio 1 FTA Ratio 1
Multiplier 1.072661 Multiplier 0.947861
DIFFERENTIAL -0.948651

 

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